Floods, Then Droughts: New Study Warns of Changing Monsoon Extremes in Last 5 Decades

A new study has revealed alarming trends in India’s monsoon patterns over the last five decades, warning of increasing extremes of floods followed by droughts. The findings highlight a growing unpredictability in the country’s climate, largely driven by global warming, which is raising concerns for the country’s agriculture, water resources, and overall livelihood.

According to the study, extreme rainfall events have become more frequent and intense during the monsoon season, causing devastating floods in many regions. States like Assam, Kerala, and Bihar have witnessed severe flooding in recent years, with damages running into billions of rupees. However, following these periods of excessive rainfall, the same regions often experience prolonged dry spells, leading to drought-like conditions.

The shifting pattern is a direct result of climate change, with warmer temperatures causing more water vapor to be held in the atmosphere. This creates a scenario where intense rainfall happens in short bursts, often overwhelming drainage systems and causing widespread floods. Conversely, during the dry season, the lack of water further stresses agricultural production and water supply systems.

The study also points to the socioeconomic impacts of these changing monsoon patterns. Farmers, who rely heavily on seasonal rains for their crops, are being hit the hardest. Unpredictable rainfall is affecting crop yields, and in turn, rural economies. The government is being urged to adopt more climate-resilient agricultural practices and better water management systems to mitigate the effects of these weather extremes.

In light of the findings, there’s also a call for more robust disaster preparedness programs, particularly in flood-prone regions. As the monsoon continues to grow more erratic, the need for immediate and long-term climate adaptation strategies has become increasingly critical.

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