Can 145 Independents Swing BJP’s Fortunes in J&K? A Look at the Poll Arithmetic

As Jammu and Kashmir gears up for elections, the role of independent candidates has become a significant talking point. With 145 independents set to contest the upcoming polls, political analysts are questioning whether they could swing the election in favor of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) or dent the dominance of regional powerhouses like the National Conference (NC) and People’s Democratic Party (PDP). While the BJP has made inroads into the region, the presence of a large number of independent candidates could create unexpected shifts in the poll arithmetic.

Historically, independents have not had a strong influence in Jammu and Kashmir elections. However, the political landscape has evolved since the abrogation of Article 370, and new political players have emerged. Many of these independent candidates come from smaller communities, and they may appeal to local voters who feel alienated by larger parties. This fragmented voter base could complicate the election outcome, potentially benefiting the BJP by splitting opposition votes.

If the independents manage to secure even a small portion of the vote, it could disrupt the traditional dominance of NC and PDP in the region. With alliances and coalitions being key to forming a government, the role of independents in J&K politics may prove to be a game-changer in this election.

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